Publications

Publications

Journal articles and reports

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Further improvement of warming-equivalent emissions calculation

Smith, Cain & Allen, NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2021

EEIST paper_edited.jpg
Deciding how to 'change big things quickly'

Mercure, Ives, Nijsse, Barbrook-Johnson, Policy note, 2021

nature.jpg
Nature-based solutions can help cool the planet - if we act now

Girardin, Jenkins, Seddon, Allen, Lewis, Wheeler, Griscom & Malhi, Nature, 2021

nature.jpg
new perspective.jpg
A new perspective on decarbonising the global energy system

Ives, Righetti, Schiele, de Meyer, Hubble-Rose, Teng, Kruitwagen, Tillmann-Morris, Wang, Way & Hepburn, report, 2021

Health affairs.jpg
Using detection and attribution to quantify how climate change is affecting health

Ebi, Åström, Boyer, Harrington, Hess, Honda, Kazura, Stuart-Smith & Otto, Health Affairs 2021

cover.jpg
Correcting course: the emission reduction potential of international cooperative initiatives

Lui, Kuramochi, Smit, Roelfsema, Hsu, Weingurter, Chan, Hale, Fekete, Lukehermoller, de Villafranca Casas, Nascimento, Sterl & Hohne, Climate Policy, 2021

200px-Elsevier.svg.png
The rise of science in low-carbon technologies

Hötte, Pichler & Lafond, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2021

nature.jpg
A case for transparent net-zero carbon targets

Smith, S.M., Communications Earth & Environment 2, 24 (2021)

200px-Elsevier_edited.png
Ammonia to power: Forecasting the levelized cost of electricity from green ammonia in large-scale power plants

Cesaro, Ives, Nayak-Luke, Mason & Banares-Alcantara, Applied Energy, 2021

nature.jpg
nature.jpg
Capital-Shift.jpg
offfset.jpg
The Oxford principles for net zero aligned carbon offsetting

Allen, Axelsson, Caldecott, Hale, Hepburn, Hickey, Mitchell-Larson, Malhi, Otto, Seddon & Smith, report, 2020

Energy-Environment.jpg
Climate change and emerging markets after Covid-19

 

Cohen, Ives, Srivastav, Schwarz, Lu, Mealy, de Souza, Jackson & Hepburn, report for Pictet Asset Management, 2021

Papers12_front-cover-1.png
Achieving Alignment in Finance

Caldecott, Climate-KIC Thought Leadership Series, 2020

Report-NSA_edited.jpg
Global climate action from cities, regions and businesses

Co-authors include Hale, Report, 2019

policy-advisory-group-706x988.png
Sensitive intervention points to achieve net-zero emissions​

 

Hepburn, Allas, Cozzi, Liebreich, Skea, Whitmarsh, Wilkes & Worthington, Report of the Policy Advisory Group of the Committee on Climate Change, 2020

nature.jpg
nature.jpg
An analysis of ways to decarbonize conference travel after COVID-19

Klower, Hopkins, Allen & Higham, Nature 583, 356-359, 2020

cover.jpg
Sub- and non-state climate action: a framework to assess progress, implementation and impact

 

Hale, Chan, Hsu, Clapper, Elliott, Faria, Kuramochi, McDaniel, Morgado, Roelfsema, Santaella, Singh, Tout, Weber, Weinfurter & Widerberg, Climate Policy, 2020

9780857939050-thumb.jpg
Less precision, more truth: uncertainty in climate economics and macroprudential policy

Hepburn and Farmer, in Handbook on the Economics of Climate Change, pp420-438, 2020.

9780857939050-thumb.jpg
Transformational change: parallels for addressing climate and development goals

Mealy and Hepburn, in Handbook on the Economics of Climate Change, pp397-419, 2020.

Picture of the front page of the Working Paper
The Effect of Firm-level ESG Practices on Macroeconomic Performance

 

Zhou, Caldecott, Harnett & Schumacher, Climate Policy, Working Paper 2020

cover.jpg
Beyond national climate action: the impact of region, city, and business commitments on global greenhouse gas emissions

 

Kuramochi, Roelfsema, Hsu, Lui, Weinfurter, Chan, Hale, Clapper, Chang & Höhne, Climate Policy, 2020

200px-Elsevier_edited.png
Economic complexity and the green economy

Mealy & Teytelboym, 

Research Policy, 2020

nature.jpg
Bringing rigour to energy innovation policy evaluation

Pless, Hepburn & Farrell, Nature Energy, 5, 2020

m_cover.png
Will COVID-19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change?

Hepburn, O'Callaghan, Stern, Stiglitz & Zenghelis

Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2020

ERL.jpg
Demonstrating GWP*

Lynch, Cain, Pierrehumbert & Allen

Environmental Research Letters, 2020

cover.jpg
Revoking coal mining permits: an economic and legal analysis

Rafaty, Srivastav & Hoops, 

Climate Policy, 2020

nature.jpg
The technological and economic prospects for CO2 utilization and removal

Hepburn, Adlen, Beddington, Carter, Fuss, MacDowell, Minx, Smith & Williams, Nature, 575, 2019

200px-Elsevier_edited.png
Targeted carbon tax reforms

King, Tarbush & Teytelboym, 

European Economic Review, Volume 119,  Pages 526-547, October 2019

1417448-GCA_Yearbook2019.png
Yearbook of global climate action

Contributors include Hale, Third UNFCCC Yearbook, 2019

TPI_logo%402x-6699da982b04ee5ef8e3654d28
A survey of the net zero positions of the world’s largest energy companies

Dietz, Jahn, Noels, Stuart-Smith, & Hepburn, Report, 2019

Science-Square-Logo.jpg
Sensitive Intervention Points in the Post Carbon Transition

Farmer, Hepburn, Ives, Hale, Wetzer, Mealy, Rafaty, Srivastav & Way, Science, 364(6435), 2019

natureclimatechange.png
Making carbon pricing work for citizens

 

Klenert, Mattauch, Combet, Edenhofer, Hepburn, Rafaty & Stern, Nature Climate Change, 8(8), 2018

natureclimatechange2.jpeg
Toward demand-side solutions for mitigating climate change​

Creutzig, Roy, Lamb et al.,

Nature Climate Change 8, 2018

ERL.jpg
Committed emissions from existing and planned power plants and asset stranding required to meet the Paris Agreement​

 

Pfeiffer, Hepburn, Vogt-Schlib, & Caldecott, Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), 2018

sciadvance.png
Interpreting Economic Complexity

 

Mealy, Farmer & Teytelboym, Science Advances, 5(1) 2019

Screen Shot 2019-04-07 at 14.50.51.png
Carbon lock-in curves and Southeast Asia: Implications for the Paris Agreement

 

Caldecott, McCarten & Triantafyllidis, Briefing Paper, 2018

reep.jpeg
Encouraging innovation that protects environmental systems: Five policy proposals

 

Hepburn, Pless & Popp, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 12(1) 2018

Screen Shot 2019-04-07 at 20.33.48.png
Low-carbon competitiveness in Asia

 

Srivastav, Fankhauser & Kazaglis, Economies, 6(1) 2018

nature.jpg
jedc.jpg
Wright meets Markowitz: How standard portfolio theory changes when assets are technologies following experience curves

 

Way, Lafond, Lillo, Pachenko & Farmer, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 101, 2019

RP.jpg
How predictable is technological progress

 

Farmer & Lafond, Research Policy, 45(3) 2016

Working papers

Picture of the cover page of the working paper
Five Worlds of Political Strategy in the Climate Movement

Srivastav & Rafaty, INET Working Paper, 2021

ssrn.png
Asset-Level Transition Risk in the Global Coal, Oil, and Gas Supply Chains

Kruitwagen, Klaas, Lakeh, Fan, Paper (SSRN), 2021

Journal articles and reports

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Challenges and innovations in the economic evaluation of the risks of climate change

Rising, Taylor, Ives, Ward, Ecological Economics, 2022

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Sensitive intervention points in China's coal phaseout

van Voss, Rafaty, Energy Policy, 2022

nature.jpg
bse.v31.3.cover.jpg
Bank green lending and credit risk: an empirical analysis of China's Green Credit Policy

Zhou, Caldecott, Hoepner, Wang, Business Strategy and the Environment, 2022

nature.jpg
nature.jpg
The meaning of net zero and how to get it right

Fankhauser, Smith, Allen, Axelsson, Hale, Hepburn, Kendall, Khosla, Lezaun, Mitchell-Larson, Obersteiner, Rajamani, Rickaby, Seddon, Wetzer, Nature Climate Change, 2021

nature.jpg
A global inventory of photovoltaic solar energy generating units

Kruitwagen, Story, Friedrich, Byers, Skillman, Hepburn, Nature, 2021

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The new economics of innovation and transition: Evaluating opportunities and risks

Grubb et al, Economics of Energy Innovation and SystemTransition report, 2021

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Upstream decarbonization through a carbon takeback obligation: An affordable backstop climate policy

Jenkins, Mitchell-Larson, Ives, Haszeldine, Allen, Joule, 2021

World connections half.png
Rething 'cost-benefit analysis' to tackle climate change

Mercure, Sharpe, Vinuales, Ives, Grubb, Lam, Drummond, Pollitt, Knobloch, & Nijsse, Global Environmental Change, 2021

EHS.jpg
review-of-international-political-economy.png
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Transition, hedge, or resist? Understanding political and economic behavior toward decarbonization in the oil and gas industry

Green, Hadden, Hale & Mahdavi, Review of International Political Economy, 2021

Can European electric utilities manage asset impairments arising from net zero carbon targets?

Hickey, O'Brien, Caldecott McInerney & Ó Gallachóir, Journal of Corporate Finance, 2021

nature.jpg
Filling the evidentiary gap in climate litigation

Stuart-Smith, Otto, Saad, Lisi, Minnerop, Cedervall Lauta, van Zwieten & Wetzer, Nature Climate Change, 2021

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Zero-Emissions Shipping: contracts-for-difference as incentives for the decarbonisation of international shipping

Clark, Ives, Fay, Lambe, Schiele, Larsson, Krejcie, Tillmann-Morris, Barbrook-Johnson & Hepburn, report, 2021

nature.jpg
Further improvement of warming-equivalent emissions calculation

Smith, Cain & Allen, NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2021

EEIST paper_edited.jpg
Deciding how to 'change big things quickly'

Mercure, Ives, Nijsse, Barbrook-Johnson, Policy note, 2021

nature.jpg
Nature-based solutions can help cool the planet - if we act now

Girardin, Jenkins, Seddon, Allen, Lewis, Wheeler, Griscom & Malhi, Nature, 2021

nature.jpg
new perspective.jpg
A new perspective on decarbonising the global energy system

Ives, Righetti, Schiele, de Meyer, Hubble-Rose, Teng, Kruitwagen, Tillmann-Morris, Wang, Way & Hepburn, report, 2021

Health affairs.jpg
Using detection and attribution to quantify how climate change is affecting health

Ebi, Åström, Boyer, Harrington, Hess, Honda, Kazura, Stuart-Smith & Otto, Health Affairs 2021

cover.jpg
Correcting course: the emission reduction potential of international cooperative initiatives

Lui, Kuramochi, Smit, Roelfsema, Hsu, Weingurter, Chan, Hale, Fekete, Lukehermoller, de Villafranca Casas, Nascimento, Sterl & Hohne, Climate Policy, 2021

200px-Elsevier.svg.png
The rise of science in low-carbon technologies

Hötte, Pichler & Lafond, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2021

nature.jpg
A case for transparent net-zero carbon targets

Smith, S.M., Communications Earth & Environment 2, 24 (2021)

200px-Elsevier_edited.png
Ammonia to power: Forecasting the levelized cost of electricity from green ammonia in large-scale power plants

Cesaro, Ives, Nayak-Luke, Mason & Banares-Alcantara, Applied Energy, 2021

nature.jpg
nature.jpg
Capital-Shift.jpg
Energy-Environment.jpg
Climate change and emerging markets after Covid-19

 

Cohen, Ives, Srivastav, Schwarz, Lu, Mealy, de Souza, Jackson & Hepburn, report for Pictet Asset Management, 2021

m_cover_edited.jpg
Catalytic cooperation

Hale, Global Environmental Politics, 2021

offfset.jpg
The Oxford principles for net zero aligned carbon offsetting

Allen, Axelsson, Caldecott, Hale, Hepburn, Hickey, Mitchell-Larson, Malhi, Otto, Seddon & Smith, report, 2020

Papers12_front-cover-1.png
Achieving Alignment in Finance

Caldecott, Climate-KIC Thought Leadership Series, 2020

policy-advisory-group-706x988.png
Sensitive intervention points to achieve net-zero emissions​

 

Hepburn, Allas, Cozzi, Liebreich, Skea, Whitmarsh, Wilkes & Worthington, Report of the Policy Advisory Group of the Committee on Climate Change, 2020

nature.jpg
nature.jpg
An analysis of ways to decarbonize conference travel after COVID-19

Klower, Hopkins, Allen & Higham, Nature 583, 356-359, 2020

cover.jpg
Sub- and non-state climate action: a framework to assess progress, implementation and impact

 

Hale, Chan, Hsu, Clapper, Elliott, Faria, Kuramochi, McDaniel, Morgado, Roelfsema, Santaella, Singh, Tout, Weber, Weinfurter & Widerberg, Climate Policy, 2020

9780857939050-thumb.jpg
Less precision, more truth: uncertainty in climate economics and macroprudential policy

Hepburn and Farmer, in Handbook on the Economics of Climate Change, pp420-438, 2020.

9780857939050-thumb.jpg
Transformational change: parallels for addressing climate and development goals

Mealy and Hepburn, in Handbook on the Economics of Climate Change, pp397-419, 2020.

Picture of the front page of the Working Paper
The Effect of Firm-level ESG Practices on Macroeconomic Performance

 

Zhou, Caldecott, Harnett & Schumacher, Climate Policy, Working Paper 2020

cover.jpg
Beyond national climate action: the impact of region, city, and business commitments on global greenhouse gas emissions

 

Kuramochi, Roelfsema, Hsu, Lui, Weinfurter, Chan, Hale, Clapper, Chang & Höhne, Climate Policy, 2020

200px-Elsevier_edited.png
Economic complexity and the green economy

Mealy & Teytelboym, 

Research Policy, 2020

nature.jpg
Bringing rigour to energy innovation policy evaluation

Pless, Hepburn & Farrell, Nature Energy, 5, 2020

m_cover.png
Will COVID-19 fiscal recovery packages accelerate or retard progress on climate change?

Hepburn, O'Callaghan, Stern, Stiglitz & Zenghelis

Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2020

ERL.jpg
Demonstrating GWP*

Lynch, Cain, Pierrehumbert & Allen

Environmental Research Letters, 2020

cover.jpg
Revoking coal mining permits: an economic and legal analysis

Rafaty, Srivastav & Hoops, 

Climate Policy, 2020

nature.jpg
The technological and economic prospects for CO2 utilization and removal

Hepburn, Adlen, Beddington, Carter, Fuss, MacDowell, Minx, Smith & Williams, Nature, 575, 2019

200px-Elsevier_edited.png
Targeted carbon tax reforms

King, Tarbush & Teytelboym, 

European Economic Review, Volume 119,  Pages 526-547, October 2019

Report-NSA_edited.jpg
Global climate action from cities, regions and businesses

Co-authors include Hale, Report, 2019

1417448-GCA_Yearbook2019.png
Yearbook of global climate action

Contributors include Hale, Third UNFCCC Yearbook, 2019

TPI_logo%402x-6699da982b04ee5ef8e3654d28
A survey of the net zero positions of the world’s largest energy companies

Dietz, Jahn, Noels, Stuart-Smith, & Hepburn, Report, 2019

Science-Square-Logo.jpg
Sensitive Intervention Points in the Post Carbon Transition

Farmer, Hepburn, Ives, Hale, Wetzer, Mealy, Rafaty, Srivastav & Way, Science, 364(6435), 2019

natureclimatechange.png
Making carbon pricing work for citizens

 

Klenert, Mattauch, Combet, Edenhofer, Hepburn, Rafaty & Stern, Nature Climate Change, 8(8), 2018

natureclimatechange2.jpeg
Toward demand-side solutions for mitigating climate change​

Creutzig, Roy, Lamb et al.,

Nature Climate Change 8, 2018

ERL.jpg
Committed emissions from existing and planned power plants and asset stranding required to meet the Paris Agreement​

 

Pfeiffer, Hepburn, Vogt-Schlib, & Caldecott, Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), 2018

sciadvance.png
Interpreting Economic Complexity

 

Mealy, Farmer & Teytelboym, Science Advances, 5(1) 2019

Screen Shot 2019-04-07 at 14.50.51.png
Carbon lock-in curves and Southeast Asia: Implications for the Paris Agreement

 

Caldecott, McCarten & Triantafyllidis, Briefing Paper, 2018

reep.jpeg
Encouraging innovation that protects environmental systems: Five policy proposals

 

Hepburn, Pless & Popp, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 12(1) 2018

Screen Shot 2019-04-07 at 20.33.48.png
Low-carbon competitiveness in Asia

 

Srivastav, Fankhauser & Kazaglis, Economies, 6(1) 2018

nature.jpg
jedc.jpg
Wright meets Markowitz: How standard portfolio theory changes when assets are technologies following experience curves

 

Way, Lafond, Lillo, Pachenko & Farmer, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 101, 2019

RP.jpg
How predictable is technological progress

 

Farmer & Lafond, Research Policy, 45(3) 2016

Working papers

Picture of the cover page of the working paper
Five Worlds of Political Strategy in the Climate Movement

Srivastav & Rafaty, INET Working Paper, 2021

ssrn.png
Asset-Level Transition Risk in the Global Coal, Oil, and Gas Supply Chains

Kruitwagen, Klaas, Lakeh, Fan, Paper (SSRN), 2021